Oral Presentations
The abstracts can be found in the programme book.
Day 1 - Monday
Verification of high impact weather and extremes
- Key-note - Ebert, Beth: Verification for High Impact Weather (HIW-1)
- Friederichs, Petra and Wahl, Sabrina: Verification of extremes based on extreme value theory (HIW-2)
- Taillardat, Maxime et al. : Verification of extremes using proper scoring rules and extreme value theory (HIW-3)
- Golding, Brian: Exploring the forecasting and warning value chain in HIWeather (HIW-4)
- Guan, Hong and Zhu, Yuejian: Development of verification methodology for extreme weather forecasts (HIW-5)
- Lerch, Sebastian et al. : Forecaster's Dilemma: Extreme Events and Forecast Evaluation (HIW-6)
User-oriented verification and estimation of forecast value
- Key-note - Lazo, Jeffrey K.: Economic Assessment of Hydro-Met Services and Products: A Value Chain Approach (USR VAL-1)
- Tesini, Maria Stefania: A user-oriented verification methodology for wind forecast. (USR VAL-2)
- Ebert, Beth et al.: User-oriented evaluation of fire spread predictions (USR VAL-3)
- Wang, William (Xiangdong) et al.: Develop a user oriented forecast verification metric (USR VAL-4)
- Sharpe, Michael and Bysouth, Clare: The final approach ? Verification of Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts (USR VAL-5)
- Jurkovic, Jadran et al. : Displaying the Verification Results of Terminal Aerodrome Forecasts for Thunderstorms and Visibility (USR VAL-6)
Day 2 - Tuesday
Meta-verification, properties of verification methods
- Key-note - Ferro, Chris A.T.: Generating and verifying probabilistic forecasts from convection-allowing ensembles using neighborhood approaches: A review and recommendations (META-1)
- Ben Bouallegue, Zied: Proper and equitable scores: a resolved dilemma (META-2)
- Harbord, Roger: The generalized discrimination score: connections, corrections and potential applications (META-3)
- Yang, Fanglin: Decomposition and Attribution of Forecast Errors (META-4)
- Jordan, Alexander et al.: Murphy diagrams (META-5)
- Bullock, Tim and Shum, Nelson: Verification of Multi-Valued Forecasts (META-6)
Methods for verification of probability and ensemble forecast
- Wahl, Sabrina et al.: Ensemble verification: Old scores, new perspectives (PROB ENS-1)
- Keller, Jan and Wahl, Sabrina: Increasing the usability of analysis rank histograms (PROB ENS-2)
- Johansson, Åke: Another look at spread and skill (PROB_ENS_3)
- Zhu, Yuejian et al.: The development of probabilistic forecast verification across the scales (PROB ENS-4)
- Schwartz, Craig and Sobash, Ryan: Generating and verifying probabilistic forecasts from convection-allowing ensembles using neighborhood approaches: A review and recommendations (PROB ENS-5)
- Mittermaier, Marion: Benefit of an ensemble over a deterministic forecast at km-scale (PROB ENS-6)
- Geer, Alan: The difficulty of verifying small improvements in forecast quality (OPS SOFT-1)
- Weatherhead, Elizabeth et al.: Methods for Identifying Small Improvements in Forecasts (OPS SOFT-2)
Day 3 - Wednesday
Spatial verification methods and verification approaches
- Key-note - Goessling, Helge: Verification of user-relevant contours with the Integrated Ice Edge Error and the Spatial Probability Score (SPATIAL-1)
- Casati, Barbara et al.: Verification of sea-ice prediction by using distance measures (SPATIAL-2)
- Gilleland, Eric and Brown, Barbara: Comparing distance methods for spatial verification (SPATIAL-3)
- Skok, Gregor and Roberts, Nigel: Estimating the displacement in precipitation forecasts using the Fractions Skill Score (SPATIAL-4)
- Mariani, Stefano and Casaioli, Marco: A multi-model, multi-analysis study to asses the capability of CRA analysis for QPF spatial verification in the MesoVICT framework (SPATIAL-5)
- Jensen, Tara et al.: Evaluation of Extra-Tropical Cyclones Using a Feature-Relative Method (SPATIAL-6)
- Brown, Barbara et al.: Methods for Evaluation of Cloud Predictions (SPATIAL-7)
- Jenkner, Johannes et al. : Grid-based spatial verifications versus point-based verifications with the application to precipitation and clouds (SPATIAL-8)
Observation uncertainty
- Jensen, Tara et al.: A Unified Approach to Verification (OBS UNC-1)
- Haiden, Thomas: Evaluating representativeness errors in verification against Arctic surface observations (OBS UNC-2)
- Radanovics, Sabine: Spatial verification of ensemble forecasts with SAL and the role of observation uncertainty (OBS UNC-3)
- Dorninger, Manfred and Kloiber, Simon: Considering observation uncertainty for verification of forecast ensembles (OBS UNC-4)
- Mittermaier, Marion: Impact of gridded "truth" resolution on spatial verification scores (OBS UNC-5)
Student projects
The student projects can be found at the tutorial talks.
Day 4 - Thursday
Climate
- Key-note - Rust, Henning: Drift in Decadal Predictions -- A particular challenge for Verification (CLIM-1)
- Kadow, Christopher et al.: Freva - Freie Univ Evaluation System Framework for Scientific Infrastructures in Earth System Modeling (CLIM-2)
- Bellprat, Omar et al.: Joint uncertainty assessment of models and observations in verification of climate predictions. (CLIM-3)
- Ammann, Caspar et al.: Useful evaluations of variability and change in simulated climate for impact studies (CLIM-4)
Sub-seasonal to seasonal
- Key-note - Vitart, Frederic and Ferranti, Laura: Sub-seasonal to seasonal forecast Verification (S2S-1)
- Bhend, Jonas and Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.: Evaluation and Quality Control for the Copernicus Seasonal Forecast Systems (S2S-2)
- Recalde, Gloria et al.: Evaluating Sub-seasonal hindcast using an objective regionalization approach (S2S-3)